3/9/2024 0 Comments What does vor local meanUntil now, if you follow the strict interpretation of “different approach” in the Glasser Letter (as different “navigational system”) you are continually searching around for an operational VOR to execute an approach for training (flying another approach over a “local VOR” is also not legal for testing – has to be the real deal). "We want people to come here with a sense of humor.Conscientious CFIs and DPEs have been carefully skating on the edge of “FAA legality” with the ambiguity in the FAA interpretation of “instrument approaches” in the regs. "We know this is silly we know this is fun," said Marcy Galando, executive director of the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club, told the AP. Out in Punxsutawney, the goal is more whimsy than accuracy. There's a New York-based groundhog named Staten Island Chuck, who former Mayor Bill de Blasio dropped 10 years ago today. states and Canadian provinces, and less formal celebrations far and wide. There have been weather-predicting groundhogs in at least 28 U.S. READ MORE: Other rodents that purport to "predict" weather The first official trek to Gobbler's Knob, where Phil lives, was in 1997, according to the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club. It's also a time of year that figures in the Celtic calendar and the Christian holiday of Candlemas.Īnd in eastern and central Pennsylvania, where people of German descent have been watching the groundhog's annual emergence from hibernation for centuries, there's a tradition of groundhog clubs and celebrations that are independent of Phil. El Nino winters tend to be milder, and we could even see some spring-like days soon. ![]() What an actual human meteorologist thinks about Phil's predictionsĪn hour earlier than Phil and right on the money, CBS Philadelphia Meteorologist Kate Bilo emerged from behind a stump on our set and projected an early spring.īecause of the El Nino pattern this year, it's likely the Northeast United States will have above average temperatures through the rest of winter, Kate said. In the ultimate diss, animal rights organization PETA said Phil's accuracy was tantamount to "a coin flip" and suggested that he be replaced with a giant coin on Groundhog Day to predict the continuance or truncation of wintry weather. They rated him as right 40% of the time between his first forecast and 2022. NOAA says Phil's first forecast was accurate for many regions but fell short for several others. saw slightly below average temperatures in February 2022 and a warmer-than-average March 2022. RELATED: The bizarre history of Groundhog DayĪfter that prediction, the U.S. NOAA analyzed Phil's 2022 forecast, where Phil saw his shadow and prognosticated six more weeks of winter. It also depends on how you calculate "six more weeks of winter" and the return of spring. ![]() Is Groundhog Day accurate? How many times has Phil been right?ĬBS News said it best - "he's a groundhog, not a meteorologist."Īs cute as Phil is, he's only right less than half the time, The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reports. There are also 10 Groundhog Days for which there is no record of what Phil saw. ![]() According to that list, Phil saw his shadow 103 times and did not see it 18 times. ![]() The PGC maintains a list of Phil's prognostications dating back to 1886 (though it appears it was last updated in 2017). If Phil doesn't see his shadow, it means spring is on the way. If Phil sees his shadow, that means six more weeks of winter. The prediction - or prognostication, as The Punxsutawney Groundhog Club calls it - focuses on what to expect with the weather for the next six weeks. What does it mean if Phil the groundhog sees his shadow?
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